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起码看到一小部分；要知道没有人能够百分之百清楚的看到未来，所以，哪怕看到一点点，也要比完全看不到强很多，而经年累月的看到那么一点点，最终就会形成巨大的差异。",[374,375,376],"h3",{"id":376},"无变化",[319,378,379,382,383,387,388,391,392,395,396,398,399,395,401,404],{},[339,380,381],{},"无变化就无趋势"," ，就如同 ",[384,385,386],"code",{},"sin"," 曲线一样，虽然有波段，但是从整个周期来看，所谓的 ",[339,389,390],{},"趋势"," 实际上是个水平线而已，而 ",[339,393,394],{},"水平线"," 就等于 ",[339,397,376],{}," ， ",[339,400,376],{},[339,402,403],{},"无趋势"," ，那最终追寻完整周期的结果都显得毫无意义……",[374,406,407],{"id":407},"上升趋势也会有波动",[319,409,410,413,414,417,418,421,422,425,426,428],{},[339,411,412],{},"即便是必然上升的趋势，也不代表就没有波动","，比如 ",[339,415,416],{},"自身成长","，虽然从长远看，是必然的上升趋势，但是在某些周期内的 ",[339,419,420],{},"下滑","，也是家常便饭，无论是自己还是外部的原因，这样的情况都是无可避免的；若你没有周期的概念，那你就可能被这样的逆境击倒 —— 你会怀疑过去的判断，进而怀疑自己的投入是无效的，然后为了马上止损停止掉相关计划……这就是典型的 ",[339,423,424],{},"韭菜","，生活中真实存在的 ",[339,427,424],{},"！",[374,430,431],{"id":431},"经历完整的一个周期",[319,433,434,435,437],{},"只有自己真正经历过一个完整的周期，自己才会打心底相信波动是正常的，也会在问题出现时变得更加淡定，这就是认知 ",[339,436,345],{}," 后带给我们的好处 —— 变得更加淡定；实际上性格的培养并非那么虚无缥缈，大部分情况下都源自于自己脑子里概念的更新迭代 —— 你能看到过去看不到的世界，所以你就有机会和过去的世界以及在那个世界匹配的性格做个了断！",[374,439,440],{"id":440},"无处不在的周期",[316,442,443],{},[319,444,445,447,448,450,451,428],{},[339,446,345],{}," 这个概念很显然不仅仅适用于金钱投资领域，无论是生活、工作、学习，还是家庭……都可以看成是投资行为！即使现在没钱投资，但是你一定有更为宝贵的资源：比如时间，比如注意力；那么你要把它们用来在什么领域？那个领域的周期变化如何？你有没有能力制定一个适合现阶段周期的计划？一旦你能够清晰的掌握 ",[339,449,345],{}," 的本质，那么等到你有足够的资金进行投资的时候，也会更加淡定从容，至少不会成为 ",[339,452,424],{},[319,454,455,457,458,461,462,464,465,468],{},[339,456,345],{}," 这个词，要往大了说，能够大到国家的经济发展、社会的潮流变迁、甚至是太阳的生命周期……但若要说小，其实也可以很小，小到你每天的心情、每周的计划……那些 ",[339,459,460],{},"大事"," 离我们的确很远，但这并不妨碍我们认识了解 ",[339,463,345],{},"，我们可以从小事入手，逐步记录自己某项计划的执行过程，以此观察自己在执行计划时的周期变化，发掘其中的规律，能够帮你更好的认识自己……别被那些所谓的 ",[339,466,467],{},"大词"," 吓退，把行动落实到每天具体的事情上，其实每个人都能掌握，并用它来改变自己的生活！",[374,470,471],{"id":471},"赚的方式越多越好",[319,473,474,475,478,479,482,483,486,487,490,491,493],{},"在生物界，只有一个较为通用的、普适的优势策略：繁殖能力强是王道；而对应到投资界，这句话应该是：赚的方式越多越好；和 ",[339,476,477],{},"鸡蛋不要放在同一个篮子里"," 的道理一样，只有当你有很多赚钱的路径的时候，才能保证自己可以给自己的资金判上 ",[339,480,481],{},"无期徒刑","，若路径太过单一，难免患得患失，于是大部分的注意力和眼界都被挪到了 ",[339,484,485],{},"眼前","，变成了 ",[339,488,489],{},"近视眼","，最终的结局就是成为 ",[339,492,424],{}," —— 看不透周期、看不到趋势，能看到的只有涨和跌而已……",[316,495,496],{},[319,497,498,499,501],{},"很多时候，我们的眼界确实能被金钱所限制，如果你赚钱的收入变得越来越少，你就会不由自主地把注意力放到眼前，而没有办法顾忌到更长时间段的周期，那就更不用说 ",[339,500,390],{}," 了。",[374,503,505,506,509],{"id":504},"一定要形成-长期-的观念","一定要形成 ",[339,507,508],{},"长期"," 的观念",[319,511,512,513,515],{},"很多时候我们对于时间的感知是不准确的，那些看似遥远的日期，很可能在不经意间就已经在你眼前了；正巧今天是高考的日子，回想一下自己曾经高考时的情形：那么漫长的高三要怎么样才能熬过去？每天有那么多功课要复习，什么时候才是个头？但现在回头看看，距离高考毕业已经8年了，时间过的那么快，当时的那些想法是多么的幼稚可笑？在看看这个专栏，从开始到现在已经是45周了，还有不到两个月也要结束了，时间是不是也过得很快？因此，如果我经常以一周、一个月、一年为周期去看待事物的发展，那么我对时间的感知能力就能够和别人不同，我能体会到的周期变化，也会和别人不一样，这也是 ",[339,514,23],{}," 的必备技能！",[374,517,518],{"id":518},"短期市场是受人们情绪控制的",[319,520,521,523],{},[339,522,518],{},"，这就是事实 —— 想想看每天有那么多人盯着一只股票的k线图去看，他们的心情自然也会和k线图一样上上下下的在起伏不定，那么多人，又有多少人是理智的呢？想要预测短期市场的走势，实在是太难了！而一旦我们被这样的短期波动牵着鼻子走，不仅心情很难受，而且失去了原来用来踏踏实实做事的时间和注意力，这简直是双重损失！",[374,525,526],{"id":526},"感受渐变的能力",[319,528,529,531,532,535,536,539,540,543,544,546,547,549],{},[339,530,526],{}," 使我们成长过程中一个非常重要的能力 —— 大部分的事物都不是突变的，就算有所谓的 ",[339,533,534],{},"突变","，多半也是在积攒了一定程度的 ",[339,537,538],{},"渐变"," 之后才会发生的。但这种能力并非天生的，而是需要我们通过后天刻意练习获得的。其中最好的一种刻意练习的方式就是 ",[339,541,542],{},"记录","：我们的记忆力是不可靠的，很多时候脑子里的数据和事实并没有想象中那么准确，这个时候就需要借助记录工具帮助我们更客观的去感受这些细微变化……尝试一下记录身边微小的变化，然后过段时间看看记录的结果和对应展现的周期，这有助于我们提高对 ",[339,545,538],{}," 和 ",[339,548,345],{}," 的感知能力。",[374,551,552],{"id":552},"低谷同样重要",[316,554,555],{},[319,556,557],{},"没有地狱，哪来的天堂？！",[319,559,560,561,564],{},"人生就是起起落落的一个过程，你在高潮的时候如何行动固然很重要，但是你在低谷的应对态度，更能体现你对于生活的把控能力。在面临低潮的时候，一定要告诉自己：我现在只是处于一个周期的波动之中，是正常的发展过程。能够知道自己现在的不利处境只是暂时的，比起任何的鼓励都要更有效，正如那句话 ",[339,562,563],{},"暂时的失败要比暂时的成功好得多"," 一样，若你明白了自己的处境只是暂时的，你就会把更多的事件和精力用在需要解决的那个问题上，等你再次抬起头，可能就会发现那暂时不利的局面已经改善了……",[316,566,567],{},[319,568,569,572,573,576,577,580],{},[339,570,571],{},"接受不完美的自己，是我们能够最终进步的保障"," ，对于这种不完美的包容，就是对于周期中的 ",[339,574,575],{},"低潮的包容"," 。因此，无论是投资还是生活，了解它们背后周期的运行规律，在某个周期的 ",[339,578,579],{},"低潮"," 的时候，多一些包容，也会让你的投资或生活，更加从容淡定。",[312,582,424],{"id":424},[316,584,585,603],{},[319,586,587,588,590,591,593,594,596,597,599,600,602],{},"在交易市场里，有一种人被称为 ",[339,589,424],{}," —— 割掉一插又长一茬，并且 ",[339,592,424],{}," 就是注定被收割的存在……如何判断自己是不是 ",[339,595,424],{}," 呢？若你脑子里存在以下闪念中的任何一个，你就是 ",[339,598,424],{},"，如假包换的 ",[339,601,424],{}," ：",[323,604,605,608,611,614,617,620,623,626,629,632],{},[326,606,607],{},"X靠谱么？你怎么看？你说Y会涨么？",[326,609,610],{},"X好贵，买不起，Y价格便宜，我买它；",[326,612,613],{},"怎么一买就跌一卖就涨？",[326,615,616],{},"刚才你们在讲什么？我没听到，我错过了什么吗？",[326,618,619],{},"都一整天\u002F周\u002F月了，怎么还没涨呢？",[326,621,622],{},"靠！赚大发了，我这就去换辆车；",[326,624,625],{},"跌成屎了，我媳妇要跟我离婚了；",[326,627,628],{},"哎！等我借来钱，已经涨上天了！",[326,630,631],{},"他们运气真好，我运气真差；",[326,633,634],{},"你们这帮家伙，全都是骗子……",[316,636,637],{},[319,638,639,640,642,643,646,647,428],{},"你如果是 ",[339,641,424],{},"，那无论到哪里，碰到的估计都是 ",[339,644,645],{},"镰刀"," —— 你若连基本的投资常识、基础的理财知识都不具备，那么任何一种投资手段到你这儿都能变成 ",[339,648,649],{},"骗人的玩意",[319,651,652,653,655],{},"如何让自己不再被贴上 ",[339,654,424],{}," 的标签呢？方法之一：判断趋势的时候，看至少两个周期(一个完整的周期是由一个上升趋势和一个下降趋势组成，而真正意义上的趋势则是由至少两个或以上的完整的周期构成)……若是我们真的能够看到多个周期，趋势就会明显到不可忽视的地步。",[312,657,658],{"id":658},"投资",[316,660,661],{},[319,662,663],{},"从一个角度看，这个世界上所有的事情其实都是投资：成长是用自己的注意力向自己投资；婚姻是双方共同投资自己的各种资源去创造一个更好的家族；工作是投资、创业也是投资，一切都是投资……",[374,665,666],{"id":666},"股权投资",[319,668,669,670,673,674,676,677,680,681,684,685,687],{},"虽然 ",[339,671,672],{},"债券投资"," 看上去更稳定（波动相对较小），但涨幅却明显落后于 ",[339,675,666],{},"，而那些 ",[339,678,679],{},"黄金投资"," 、 ",[339,682,683],{},"美元投资"," 什么的，比起 ",[339,686,666],{}," ，那简直是弱爆了 —— 这是更深层次的趋势 —— 股权收益的时代已经来临了！",[374,689,690],{"id":690},"安全的资金边界",[319,692,693,696,697,699,700,703,704,707],{},[339,694,695],{},"当一个投资产品占到你总资产的四分之一的时候，你是无论如何也很难保持完全淡定的"," —— 这句话虽然不一定是金律，但是也能够作为一个参考标准，就如同 ",[339,698,477],{}," 一样，分散投资同样能够分散风险，并且就算自己判断失误失去了所有的资金，也能够淡定的面对……这其中让你保持淡定的最终因素就是 ",[339,701,702],{},"这些钱即便全没了，你依然可以过得很好"," 。每个人的 ",[339,705,706],{},"丢了也不心疼的钱"," 到底是多少是要取决于个人的实际情况，为了让这部分钱的绝对数量有所增加，最好的方法就是提升自己赚钱的能力 —— 你赚的越多，能够不在乎的金额就越大，通过长期的规划，最终获得满意的投资回报。",[374,709,711],{"id":710},"投资之前不做功课投资之后收获痛苦","投资之前不做功课，投资之后收获痛苦",[316,713,714],{},[319,715,716,719,720,722,723,726],{},[339,717,718],{},"你需要付出的代价，总归是要付出的"," —— 那些在投资之前不做功课，以为跟着别人一起投资就可以获得收益，而省下了这部分投入，最终都会在你 ",[339,721,658],{}," 之后，以直接的损失加倍的返还给你 —— 那些被你省下的痛苦，以后一定会回来找你的，就像那句台词 ",[339,724,725],{},"出来混，迟早要还的","。",[312,728,730,546,733],{"id":729},"不屈不挠-和-坚持不懈",[339,731,732],{},"不屈不挠",[339,734,735],{},"坚持不懈",[316,737,738],{},[319,739,740,741,743,744,746],{},"所谓的 ",[339,742,732],{},"，所谓的 ",[339,745,735],{},"，更多的时候，只不过是因为对自己正在身处某个周期的哪个位置非常了解，所以才更容易的做出决定；很多计划最终不能落实的原因，背后最深刻的原因，很可能是由于你当时身处的自己的生命周期和其他各种周期(比如经济周期)都各不相同，于是没有人能够帮你具体地制定完全适合你的计划，所以，人生规划这个东西，听不得别人的，必须自己来，否则只能后果自负……",[312,748,750],{"id":749},"这是我自己思考的结果还是我为了避免思考而找借口","这是我自己思考的结果，还是我为了避免思考而找借口？",[319,752,753,755,756,759,760,763,764,767],{},[339,754,750],{}," —— 每当我回顾自己的理由的时候，就应该反复问问自己这个问题！因为作为人类，我们都有一个特别大的弱点： ",[339,757,758],{},"合理化自身的行为"," —— 无论在外人来看是多么荒唐的一件事，对于执行者本人来说都正确无比，甚至他们有一套能够 ",[339,761,762],{},"自洽的逻辑"," 来证明自己的行为是正确的……显然，我们每一次明显的进步，都需要我们克服这种 ",[339,765,766],{},"合理化"," 的缺点！",[319,769,770],{},"无论别人给了你什么样的建议，最终决定并采取行动的人只有你自己。因此当你不需要拿出行动，并且为自己的行为负责的时候，是最轻松的；比起只动动嘴皮子，用行动投票永远是最关键的考量标准 —— 别听一个人嘴里声称他相信什么，只需要看他的实际行动，就能知道他内心的真实想法。",[374,772,773],{"id":773},"不急躁",[319,775,776,779,780,783],{},[339,777,778],{},"心态上一旦不急躁，达成目标的时间往往会缩短不少"," —— 因为你会把用于控制焦躁情绪的注意力投入在真正做事上，所以效率更高，达成目标的时间也就越短；并且，也不会因为追求所谓的 ",[339,781,782],{},"速成"," 而浪费注意力和时间，而是会扎扎实实的把基础打牢。",[312,785,786],{"id":786},"回顾和总结",[319,788,789,790,793],{},"我们站在圆形的地球上，却感受到地面是平的。这是认知偏差么？很显然这并不是，这只不过是我们的视角太局限、太小，看不到整个世界的真实面貌罢了，若从太空中看向地球，我们就会发现，地球确实是圆的，而人类确实是站在一个曲面上。你可能会说，我们现在根本没有能力到太空中眺望地球，如何知道地球是圆的？但实际上，办法一定有的，而且还不少，就比如 ",[339,791,792],{},"地平线"," 这个概念的产生就证明了地球不是平的 —— 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